Inflation fears, currency tremors, market jitters, and emotional vacillation causing joy and terror because all these outcomes seem equally likely. No realistic gauge is showing reliable directions for key metrics. Near-term data usually predicts the near-term future, and that usually gives us a reasonable sense of comfort about the markets, and how to plan, prepare, predict, and withstand anticipated market moves. But that is not the case now.
Recent Writing
- What? So What? Now What?: Uncertainty, Transformation, and Upheaval
- The US, China, and Asia
- AI is Not Magic
- A New Perspective
- Navigating Uncertainty
- The US, China, and 3-D Chess
- China, the US, and the “Trap”
- China’s Emerging AI
- The AI Wars
- Rationality and Exuberance
- AGI Is Not Coming Soon
- Burning Billions