Risk is the permanent loss of capital. It is not volatility, nor is it uncertainty. It is the realization of a loss. Therefore, risk is only clear with hindsight. Understanding how risk works avoids the mistakes that cause the permanent loss of capital.
Recent Writing
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- Doomsday, AI, and a Response to Dario Amodei
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- AI and Human Intelligence
- AI is Not a Magic Bullet
- The New Fire: Artificial Intelligence, Geopolitics, and a Transformed World
- The Real World and AI
- The Computable Molecule
- The AI Molecule
- The Next Human Crisis
- The Application Layer
- The Price-to-Dream Ratio