Inflation fears, currency tremors, market jitters, and emotional vacillation causing joy and terror because all these outcomes seem equally likely. No realistic gauge is showing reliable directions for key metrics. Near-term data usually predicts the near-term future, and that usually gives us a reasonable sense of comfort about the markets, and how to plan, prepare, predict, and withstand anticipated market moves. But that is not the case now.
Recent Writing
- ChatGPT Is Not Intelligence
- Globalization and Optimism
- Discovery, Innovation, and Crisis
- Industrial Policy – Stupidity by Another Name
- Proud Certainty
- The Broken Road of Innovation
- Uncertain Markets and Future Returns
- Looking Forward
- The Ten Year Horizon: Volatile, Intense, and Mostly Harmless
- Digital Assets, Central Banks, and Regulators
- A New Vision for Artificial Intelligence
- The Next Ten Years