Inflation fears, currency tremors, market jitters, and emotional vacillation causing joy and terror because all these outcomes seem equally likely. No realistic gauge is showing reliable directions for key metrics. Near-term data usually predicts the near-term future, and that usually gives us a reasonable sense of comfort about the markets, and how to plan, prepare, predict, and withstand anticipated market moves. But that is not the case now.
Recent Writing
- China, the US, and the “Trap”
- China’s Emerging AI
- The AI Wars
- Rationality and Exuberance
- AGI Is Not Coming Soon
- Burning Billions
- A New Vision for AI
- Apple versus Visa
- A New Perspective on AI
- Globalization Under Threat
- Transformation, Disruption, Opportunity, and Hype
- China, Prosperity, and Free Markets